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Daily Market Dispatch – June 13, 2025 Overview Markets pulled back on Friday as geopolitical headlines added a layer of uncertainty to an otherwise improving macro landscape. Bitcoin fell below $104,000, and U.S. equity futures slipped ~1.2% across the board, snapping a multi-week rally. A spike in oil prices following military developments in the Middle East introduced volatility but didn’t disrupt structural trends. Inflation data remained favorable. Both CPI and PPI prints this week came in cooler than expected. Treasury yields have stabilized, and markets broadly expect the Fed to hold rates steady next week, while still pricing in the possibility of cuts later this year. For crypto, positioning has lightened, but the broader setup still favors a return to resilience once macro noise abates. Bitcoin Bitcoin declined to $104,070, down 3.6% on the day, as traders rotated out of high-beta assets in response to global risk-off flows. The move was orderly, with limited signs of forced deleveraging, suggesting spot flows, not leverage, drove the adjustment. Open interest remains stable above $37 billion. The $105,000 level has now turned into short-term resistance, while the $100,000 zone offers a deeper layer of psychological support. Structurally, Bitcoin remains well-positioned: derivatives are clean, long-term holders are unshaken, and macro expectations are starting to tilt dovish again. Ethereum and Altcoins Altcoins saw a broad reset, with Ethereum down 9.8% to $2,497 and similar moves across Solana, Cardano, and Polygon. However, under the surface, Ethereum’s structural backdrop continues to strengthen. Spot Ethereum ETFs recorded $240 million in net inflows on June 11, their second-highest daily total this year, pushing cumulative allocations to $1.2 billion in just a few weeks. Ethereum isn’t just attracting flows – it’s attracting conviction. Ethereum-linked ETFs now hold $11.05 billion in assets, or 3.25% of ETH’s total market cap – an institutional footprint that’s growing by the day. Derivative markets tell the same story – ETH open interest has surged to a record $41 billion, while spot prices recently touched $2,800, a four-month high. XRP, meanwhile, dropped 8% to $2.10 but retained its utility-led positioning. At XRP APEX 2025, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse predicted XRP could capture 14% of SWIFT’s global cross-border payment volume in five years, shifting the conversation from messaging to liquidity. While altcoins remain vulnerable to macro swings, the core infrastructure stories around ETH and XRP continue to mature. The reset in price doesn’t reflect a reset in the thesis. Macro & Institutional The macro narrative continues to improve beneath the surface. This week’s inflation data confirmed that tariff impacts are not yet bleeding into core prices, and yields have cooled modestly as expectations shift toward policy easing later in the year. The SEC postponed decisions on a series of spot altcoin ETFs – Dogecoin, Hedera, and Avalanche – but this delay has become par for the course. The more telling development came earlier in the week, when Solana ETF sponsors were asked to update their filings, typically a pre-approval stage. Bloomberg’s Eric Balchunas maintains a two-to-four-month approval window. Looking Ahead Next week’s calendar is packed with macro events that could influence both rate expectations and market sentiment. The Bank of Japan will announce its interest rate decision, offering insight into whether it will maintain its dovish stance amid domestic inflation pressures. In the U.S., retail sales data will shed light on consumer resilience, while the Fed’s interest rate decision, alongside the FOMC statement and press conference, will be the week’s centerpiece, with markets expecting a hold but listening for any dovish tilt. Layered on top is the Senate vote on the GENIUS Act, potentially defining the next chapter for stablecoin regulation. - Iliya Kalchev, Nexo Dispatch analyst For informational purposes only; not financial or investment advice.